Stock Market Prediction Based on Big Data Using Deep Reinforcement Long Short-Term Memory Model

Stock Market Prediction Based on Big Data Using Deep Reinforcement Long Short-Term Memory Model

Ishwarappa K., J. Anuradha
Copyright: © 2022 |Pages: 19
DOI: 10.4018/IJeC.304445
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Abstract

In this modern era, the stock market is one of the important platforms for several business developments to ensure their growth for upcoming years. Big data is another technical aspect of the stock market to import large amounts of stocks. Deep Reinforcement Long Short Term Memory (DRLSTM) model is proposed for achieving better prediction rate for stock market trends based on the technical indicators. Three most popular banking organizations data is obtained in real-time live stocks from the NIFTY-50 market data. The data is enclosed based on trading days from 2000 to 2020. The bid data approach known to be a Hadoop framework is used simultaneously to handle large amounts of data for processing through distributed storage. The experimental results are performed based on the mean squared error (MSE) for the proposed model which obtained a low error rate of 0.017% for SBI, 0.014% for HDFC, and 0.018% for BajajFin. The proposed model is evaluated and results are compared with other existing techniques which the RLSTM outperforms by obtaining a high accuracy rate.
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Introduction

Integration associating both Deep Learning (DL) along with Reinforcement Learning (RL) forms the Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL). This system model has the ability to handle and manage raw data which are from high dimension and attain end user learning to achieve action from perception. Simulation of styles in learning and cognition in humans happens in this model including information from sensors and visual data. Action like processing of the brain along with external supervision is given as output from the model. Most significant feature of DL is dimensionality reduction. Deep Neural Network (DNN) finds the minimal dimension by extracting from the higher dimension from the raw data. Biases which are respondent are incorporated into architecture using neural network, extraction and perception capabilities are higher in case of Deep Learning, but main drawback is ability to make decisions. Deep Learning is complementing and associating each other and gives solutions for forming systems based on cognitive decision of complex methods.

Technical indicators are constructed by investment based on traditional quantitative. It consists of a limited span of life and lower self-adaptability. In the financial sector, there exist particular methods for suggesting self-automated advice based on financial crisis or management based on investment known as robot-advisors (Bastianin & Manera, 2015). Based on the scenario of prediction these robot-advisors forecast the states of prediction in future. Moreover, a lower rate of prediction may lead to intolerable phases of risk and huge capital losses. States based on financial disclaimer that “earlier performance does not guarantee of present returns”, fundamental issues are earlier data is often lower level of future prediction and makes it exertion to knowledge about distribution of target. Practitioners involved in finance have traditionally been restricted to models involved in training with existing data. Moreover, models based on back testing cannot cost for transaction or impact on the market, both hold the magnitude comparable to prediction returns (Minh et al., 2018).

In order to return from such problems, simulation using artificial neural networks gives an avenue which is significant for enhancing deep learning productivity. Simulation of artificial market on basis of agent is a broadly utilised model (Liu & Wang, 2018) that proves to be a substitute for market prediction in real time scenarios. Most significant advantage of markets utilised for simulation is that they collaborate to handle realistic situations and regimes which have never been utilised earlier (L. Chen et al., 2018). Simulation on the basis of multi agents is a model of environment which consists of agents where behavior of agents is based on the impact of the environment and evolves the environment state, using the agent’s actions. Basically, in view of simulations financially, the market is mentioned as an environment wherein the properties are communicated by an agents ensemble associated after considering the investors and whose reactions are monitored by reductive simulation. Efforts of strategies involving DRL on simulators have been significant in different areas (Bao, W et al., 2017).

Methodologies of understanding the concepts of DRL on simulators involving environment have been significantly successful in different domains (Chong, E et al., 2017) and consistently attain better performance on large complex tasks (Dayan, P., & Balleine, B. W., 2002) like GO and StarCraft II (Deng, Y et al., 2016). DRL simulates their behaviour on forecasting about the environment, and during the individual actions neural networks are trained to increase the rewards cumulatively. As described earlier, simulation of models which are trained with DRL to form the capability of superior prediction from being trained through different methods that can be visualized by every human in a lifetime. Major advantage of simulators of agents in DRL is the cost of realistic transaction and impact of the market (Fischer, T., & Krauss, C., 2018). Based on the personal investment in the market, the influence of the impact will occur. Reinforcement learning depicts the computational model to know and automate aim directed decision and learning. It is associated from various computational methodologies by its learning emphasis by interaction caused by individuals with help of its environment as illustrated in figure 1.

Figure 1.

Interaction in reinforcement learning

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